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The Nelson A. Rockefeller Institute of Government

 
NYSNER Archives

NYSNER Archives

The Rockefeller Institute coordinates the New York State Network for Economic Research, a consortium of researchers and users of economic research interested in increasing public and governmental understanding of New York State's policies and economy.


March 2005: The Rockefeller Institute hosted a conference of the New York State Network for Economic Research on March 30, 2005, on the topic of the fiscal and economic environment for state and local governments in New York. Papers presented at this conference included:

Opening Presentation



State and Local Government Performance Management in New York: Practices and Prospects

   [PDF]
Lessons from the Institute’s Public Policy Forum on performance management in state and local government.
Richard P. Nathan, co-director of the Rockefeller Institute


Session One: Fiscal Condition of New York's Counties and Upstate Cities


Challenges Persist For Many New York Counties

   [PPT]
New York’s counties have limited ability to respond to revenue constraints and expenditure pressures as a result of a high percentage of fixed and mandated costs, limited flexibility due to binding arbitration with strong unions, high Medicaid costs, and other factors.
Moody’s Investment Services

Analysis of Fiscal Stress in the Cities of New York State

   [PPT]
Using a framework from the International City/County Management Association, NYS OSC found a strong link between demographic factors and fiscal stress, suggesting that stress may be unavoidable for major upstate New York cities.
New York State Office of the State Comptroller (NYS OSC)


William R. Steinhaus, Dutchess County Executive and Ed Ingoldsby, New York State Division of the Budget, also provided reactions to the presentations. A transcript of their comments is not available.

Session Two: Issues, trends, and Outlook for the New Economy


Briefing on the Regional Economy

   [PPT]
Economic indicators show a moderate recovery is underway in New York State and New York City, although employment is recovering more slowly than output. Out-migration (seniors and young, prime, working age people) and immigration (young foreigners) trends show that the state is accelerating the export of wealthier populations and importing a less wealthy, less educated population.
Rae Rosen, Federal Reserve Bank

Population Out-migration and Upstate Economic Performance

   [PPT]
The recent recession hit upstate New York longer and deeper than the rest of the nation. Out-migration is aging upstate New York’s population faster than average, contributing to the region’s slow economic growth.
Richard Deitz, Federal Reserve Bank

IBO’s Outlook for New York City

   [PPT]
The fiscal outlook for New York City improved in fiscal year 2005 with surpluses projected for 2005 and 2006. The City faces fiscal risks in the near future with possible budget gaps in 2007-2009 due to the expiration of sales and income taxes and increasing Medicaid costs.
Theresa Devine, New York City Independent Budget Office (IBO)



Robert Megna, New York State Division of the Budget, presented information on New York State's tax revenue, employment, and tax burden. Mr Megna's presentation is not available.

Economic Outlook Conference March 12, 2003

Conference Highlight
Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief investment officer of First Albany Asset Management Corporation, presented his outlook for the national economy. To view Mr. Johnson's conference handout, click here.



Panel Presentation/Handouts

“The Economic Recovery: Still Waiting”

   [PPT]
James Diffley, U.S. Regional Services, Global Insight

“Briefing on the Regional Economy”

   [PPT]
Rae D. Rosen, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

“Economic Update for Upstate New York”

   [PPT]
Richard Deitz, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Buffalo Branch

“Upstate New York Economic Review, 1991-2001”

   [PDF]
Prepared for the Greater Syracuse Chamber of Commerce by Pathfinders. Handout for presentation by Stephen Kagann, NYS Governor's Office of Economic Affairs.




Economic Outlook Conference March 21, 2002

Conference Highlight
Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief investment officer of First Albany Asset Management Corporation, presented his outlook for the national economy. To view Mr. Johnson's conference presentation, click here.




Panel Presentation/Handouts

“What Kind of Recovery Will We Get?”

   [PST]
James Diffley, Group Managing Director, U.S. Regional Services, DRI-WEFA

“Briefing on the Regional Economy”

   [PPT]
Rae D. Rosen, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Analysis of the Mayor's Preliminary Budget for 2003

   [PST]
Theresa J. Devine, Senior Economist, New York City Independent Budget Office




Research-In-Progress December 4, 2002, Panel Papers

"Welfare Reform and Poverty Report"

   [PST]
Robert Doar and George Falco

"The Well-Being of New York Children Cared for by Relatives"

   [PST]
Rachel Dunifon

"The Well-Being of New York Children Cared for by Relatives"

   [PST]
Rachel Dunifon

"School Aid Distribution"

   [PPT]
Cynthia Searcy

"Trends in State and Local Government Employment, 1994-2001"

   [PST]
Tim Maniccia

"Trends in State and Local Government Employment, 1994-2001"

   [PST]
Tim Maniccia

"Information and Quality Sorting by Patient Ability-to-Pay"

   [DOC]
Rachel Kreier

"Welfare Reform and New York City's Low-Income Population"

   [PST]
Howard Chernick and Cordelia Reimers

"The Triangular Relationship: Charter Schools Their Boards of Trustees and Their Institutional Partners"

   [PST]
Robin Jacobowitz

"The State of the Economy"

   [PPT]
Richard Deitz

"How Volatile is New York's Economy?"

   [PPT]
Richard Deitz

"The Key to the Upstate Economy? Manufacturing-Still."

   [PST]
Robert B. Ward

"Manufacturing: A Key Player in New York State's Economy"

   [PPT]
Robert B. Ward

"Will Tax Increment Financing Work for the No. 7 Subway Extension?"

   [PST]
Theresa J. Devine

"Is Medicaid Retrenching?"

   [PPT]
Courtney E. Burke and James Fossett

"Independent Higher Education as an Economic Engine: The Latest Action Research"

   [PPT]
Terri Standish-Kuon

"Why Has The US Emerged as the Economic Superpower in the 20th Century: The Human Capital Hypothesis"

   [DOC]
AUTHOR (Tables   [PDF])

"Tale of Two Recessions: The Current Slowdown in NYC Compared to the Early 1990s

"   [DOC]
James Parrott and Oliver Cooke (Appendix Tables   [PDF])




Research in Progress Conference December 5, 2001

Conference Highlight
Robert Turner’s paper, A Framework for Cluster-Based Economic Development Policies, was published by the Rockefeller Press in 2001. To view this publication, click here.




Session One: The New York Economy in the Wake of the World Trade Center Attack

“World Trade Center Impacts Take a Heavy Toll on Low-Wage Workers,”

   [PDF]
Zofia Nowakowski, Fiscal Policy Institute, Columbia University

“Economic and Fiscal Impacts of the World Trade Center Attack,”

   [PPT]
James Orr and Jason Bram, Federal Reserve Bank of New York




Session Two: Public Finance

“Tax Burden, Fiscal Stress and Services Provision,”

   [PDF]
Joe D. Francis, David Kay and Ragendra DeSousa, Cornell University

“The Commuter Tax and the Fiscal Cost of Commuters in New York City,”

   [DOC]
Howard Chernick and Olesya Tkacheva, Department of Economics, Hunter College

“What Westchester’s New York State Address Does to Local Taxes,”

   [PPT]
Kent Gardner and Sarah Boyce, Center for Governmental Research

Do Tax Increases in New York City Cause a Loss of Jobs? A Review of Evidence.

   [DOC] (Preliminary Paper)
Moshe Adler, Oliver Cook, and James Parrott, Fiscal Policy Institute, Columbia University




Session Three: Plenary

A Framework for Cluster-Based Economic Development Policies,

   [PDF]
Robert C. Turner, Government Department, Skidmore College

How Family Friendly is Upstate New York?,

   [PDF]
Stephen Sweet, Phyllis Moen and Bickley Townsend, Cornell Careers Institute, Cornell University

“How New York State Increased International Procurement Market Access for Its Businesses,”

   [PPT]
Kay Alison Wilkie, Empire State Development




Session Four: Selected Economic Issues 1

“Structural Change and Industrial Diversification in Upstate New York,”

   [PDF]
Richard Deitz, Regional Economist, Federal Reserve Bank of New York




Session Five: Selected Economic Issues 2

“Explaining College Enrollment,”

   [PDF]
Stacey Chen, Department of Economics, University at Albany

Costs and Benefits of Mitigating Radon in Drinking Water,

   [DOC]
Donald F. Vitaliano, Professor of Economics, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

Facilitated Strategic Planning as a Tool to Build Social Capital: A Research in Progress Report,

   [DOC]
David Allee and Tim Cullenen, Cornell University

What Makes Canadian Firms Tick: Why Do They Choose to Locate Where They Do in the U.S.?,

   [DOC]
Prem Gandhi and Wayne Glass, Institute for International Business Education, Research and Training, Plattsburgh State University of New York